Jay Kaplan On Recession Concerns & His Small-Cap Outlook—Royce
article 03-05-2019

Jay Kaplan on Asset TV's Masterclass: Small-Caps March 2019

PM Jay Kaplan joined host Sue Lee on Asset TV's Masterclass: Small-Caps March 2019 to discuss why he’s less concerned about recession than inflation and where he is finding opportunities in domestic small-caps.


PM Jay Kaplan joined host Sue Lee and another investment professional on Asset TV's Masterclass: Small-Caps March 2019, which aired March 4, 2019, to address the possible recession concern, share where he is finding opportunities, and more.

Watch Jay’s appearance here.

When asked whether he believes inflation or a recession is a larger concern for domestic small-cap companies, Jay made the case for inflation. He believes inflation may be looming because consumer products are beginning to raise prices, citing Hershey’s announcement that chocolate prices are increasing. Jay added that he doesn’t see any evidence of a recession in the U.S. at this time.

He noted that the December downturn provided many buying opportunities, but that has slowed now that the market is up 16% since New Year’s. However, he said that as a value investor he has been looking into cyclical areas, such as banking and trucking.

“This year so far to date, small-cap value has almost caught up to small cap growth, so that's a post in the right direction I guess,” Jay said. “When you look at valuations, small-cap value stocks are way less expensive. The earnings power is way better. They actually have earnings.”

Watch Jay’s appearance here.

Bio of Jay Kaplan

Jay Kaplan has been at Royce & Associates for 18 years, and he is a portfolio manager for five funds at the Firm. Prior to joining, he spent 12 years with The Prudential, most recently as Managing Director and Portfolio Manager. Mr. Kaplan holds a bachelor's degree from the State University of New York at Binghamton and a Master of Business Administration from New York University. He is a CFA® charterholder.

Important Disclosure Information

The thoughts and opinions expressed in the video are solely those of the persons speaking as of February 20, 2019 and may differ from those of other Royce investment professionals, or the firm as a whole. There can be no assurance with regard to future market movements.

The performance data and trends outlined in this presentation are presented for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Historical market trends are not necessarily indicative of future market movements.

Cyclical and Defensive are defined as follows: Cyclical: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Financials, Industrials, Information Technology, Materials. Defensive: Consumer Staples, Health Care, Real Estate, Telecommunication Services, Utilities.

Sector weightings are determined using the Global Industry Classification Standard ("GICS"). GICS was developed by, and is the exclusive property of, Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC ("S&P") and MSCI Inc. ("MSCI"). GICS is the trademark of S&P and MSCI. "Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)" and "GICS Direct" are service marks of S&P and MSCI.

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